Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roberson * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| A. Booker * | 37 | 2-14 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Scott * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| S. Dinwiddie * | 29 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| S. Chen * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| X. Johnson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Stalzer | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| X. Talton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Adams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Starks * | 39 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Joe Burton * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Roberto Nelson * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Devon Collier * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Challe Barton * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Olaf Schaftenaar | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Langston Morris-Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarmal Reid | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter