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2013-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.2% 14.8% - โœ“
Margin 91.4% 8.6% -13.0 โœ“ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.0% 7.0% - โœ“

Actual: Boston College Eagles -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 38 6-12 2-6 4-4 4 3 2 0 1 18 14 -
M. Plumlee * 38 6-11 0-0 7-10 11 2 1 2 3 19 21 -
Quinn Cook * 37 3-11 3-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 9 0 -
Rasheed Sulaimon * 23 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Amile Jefferson * 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Tyler Thornton 30 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 5 2 -
Josh Hairston 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Alex Murphy 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Rahon * 38 3-12 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 6 -3 -
Olivier Hanlan * 37 4-11 1-2 11-12 4 0 2 0 1 20 14 -
Lonnie Jackson * 32 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 2 1 -
Ryan Anderson * 28 8-14 0-1 1-2 6 2 2 0 3 17 10 -
Dennis Clifford * 14 2-2 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Eddie Odio 26 2-2 0-0 1-1 5 1 3 0 0 5 12 -
Andrew Van Nest 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
Patrick Heckmann 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Danny Rubin 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter