Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Horgan * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mike Groselle * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Ashton Moore * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marshall Harris * | 25 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Matt Van Scyoc | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Janeil Jenkins | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Elmore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Raemond Robinson | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Lawrence Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Miller * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tim Williams * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Hood * | 33 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Raijon Kelly * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Clide Geffrard | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Russell Wilson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Hayman | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hamilton Bailey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Beckham | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike Fitzpatrick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter