Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | -6.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Costello | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Johnson * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Donnie Hale * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rapheal Davis | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter