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Pepperdine Waves 72
@
Portland Pilots 68
2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% - ✓
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 ✗ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% - ✗

Actual: Portland Pilots -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorne Jackson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 3 1 3 22 36 -
Jordan Baker * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 3 4 12 16 -
Nikolas Skouen * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 14 -
Moriba De Freitas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 4 1 1 6 20 -
Stacy Davis * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 11 16 -
Jett Raines 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 11 -
Austin Mills 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
Jan Maehlen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Atif Russell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 3 1 1 11 27 -
D. Rodgers * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 7 1 1 4 17 30 -
T. van der Mars * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 2 12 26 -
K. Bailey * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 3 4 12 18 -
B. Pressley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 17 -
O. Reinfelds 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 0 5 -
T. Riley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Thieleke 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Barker 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
J. Ehlers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter