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2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Norfolk State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“

Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Casey Walker * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 9 15 -
Marques Oliver * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 1 2 16 30 -
Kendall Gray * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 4 1 4 9 -
Tahj Tate * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 2 3 -
Amere May * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Albert Thomas 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 2 5 -
Tyshawn Bell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
Miles Bowman 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 11 12 -
Nick Doyle 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Lawson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Brandon Oliver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Scott Sill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Hawkins * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 20 27 -
Rob Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 14 -
Pendarvis Williams * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 9 15 -
Jamel Fuentes * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 2 6 16 -
Brandon Goode * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 2 1 17 30 -
Rashid Gaston 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 6 -
Kris Brown 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 9 -
Marese Phelps 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Paulius Vinogradovas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jordan Weathers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Riley Maye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter