Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 20 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Green | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 30 | - |
| M. Story * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | - |
| C. Huff * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Burris | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Coleman | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| D. Elliott | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter