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2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (29.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +26 (87-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 31 1-9 0-5 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 2 2 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 29 5-8 1-3 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 14 13 -
J. McAdoo * 26 3-12 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 6 -5 -
D. Strickland * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Hubert * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
P.J. Hairston 19 4-11 3-8 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 11 0 -
L. McDonald 16 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
J. Simmons 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 4 9 -
B. Johnson 13 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
J. James 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J.P. Tokoto 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Larkin * 35 6-10 5-8 1-2 4 9 0 0 4 18 17 -
D. Scott * 32 6-12 3-3 2-2 6 5 3 0 2 17 17 -
K. Kadji * 31 6-10 3-5 2-2 6 0 0 1 3 17 11 -
T. McKinney-Jones * 26 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Gamble * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 0 8 13 -
R. Brown 24 3-6 2-5 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
R. Johnson 21 3-9 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 8 4 -
T. Jekiri 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Akpejiori 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Sorenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Heller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Swoope 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter