Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +7 (69-62). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Crutcher * | 40 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Ellis * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jose Long * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Justan Banks * | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Green Hill | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Demarquelle Tabb | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Lanier | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Colvin | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Justin Wagner | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nicholas West | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 36 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 33 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Denzell McDaniel * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Joshua Freelove * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Luther Page * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter