Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.0% | 19.0% | -8.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls -22 (39-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Williams * | 38 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Nick Russell * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Manuel * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Uche Ofoegbu | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Guercy * | 39 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tamir Jackson * | 38 | 2-16 | 1-8 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Julian DeBose * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Austin Ramljak * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bahrom Firozgary * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ross Wilson | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Keith Washington | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Dan Peera | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elliot Franshaw | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter