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2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Log Adjusted 15.0% 85.0% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 11 12 -
J. Duren * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
M. Townsend * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 6 12 -
A. Cotton * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 3 10 -
G. Kelley * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Sears 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 9 13 -
J. Kreisberg 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 4 7 9 -
N. Victor 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 11 -
S. Martin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 11 12 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Hummer * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 1 7 14 20 -
D. Koon * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 16 21 -
T.J. Bray * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 5 0 3 9 20 -
H. Brase * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 5 11 -
W. Barrett * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 13 -
M. Darrow 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Connolly 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Clement 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter