Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -18 (49-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Finn * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Hooten * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Raeford Worsham | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Price * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 32 | - |
| George Fant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Crook * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Harris * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aleksej Rostov * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Teeng Akol | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Kaspar | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caden Dickerson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| O'Karo Akamune | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Stephon Drane | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Percy Blade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Vasquez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kene Anyigbo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter