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2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Wallace * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 3 8 -
Frankie Sullivan * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 8 17 -
Allen Payne * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Rob Chubb * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
Chris Denson 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 15 20 -
Noel Johnson 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 14 -
Shaquille Johnson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 15 -
Asauhn Dixon-Tatum 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 2 5 -
Jordan Price 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jordon Granger 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Mays * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 10 18 -
Nerlens Noel * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 1 2 10 23 -
Alex Poythress * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 8 11 -
Ryan Harrow * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 12 16 -
Archie Goodwin * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 3 5 -
Kyle Wiltjer 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 14 18 -
Jarrod Polson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 3 8 -
Willie Cauley-Stein 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 17 -

* = starter