Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Les | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Betu | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Clayton | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Royer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Joel Awich | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter