Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hawkins * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| R. Howley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| R. Sypkens * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| P. Mancasola * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Les | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Betu | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Clayton | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Royer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| D. U'u * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| B. Bennett * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| C. Eversley * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Odister | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Awich | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter