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2013-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +17 (63-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rafael Maia * 34 7-17 0-0 5-11 9 0 1 1 2 19 11 -
Sean McGonagill * 33 4-8 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
Tucker Halpern * 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
Matt Sullivan * 30 2-7 0-4 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 5 -2 -
Cedric Kuakumensah * 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 2 3 9 -
Tyler Ponticelli 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Stephen Albrecht 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Joe Sharkey 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Jon Schmidt 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Hummer * 34 6-10 1-1 2-4 5 3 1 0 1 15 13 -
T.J. Bray * 33 6-7 2-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 14 10 -
Denton Koon * 27 6-7 3-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 17 11 -
Will Barrett * 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 8 2 1 1 1 0 8 -
Hans Brase * 21 1-4 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 3 0 5 11 -
Mack Darrow 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 3 5 -
Brendan Connolly 17 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 -
Chris Clement 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Clay Wilson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Mike Washington 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Bobby Garbade 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Ameer Elbuluk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brian Fabrizius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaac Serwanga 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter