Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Peterson * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Edward Townsel * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kelvin Downs * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 32 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Hooten | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kendrick Washington | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Raeford Worsham | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Weaver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Knight * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J. Sulton * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Hammonds II * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Massey * | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| S. Jones * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Hunter | 21 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| T. Knight | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Cintron | 14 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Gallman | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Walker | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Perkins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter