Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fleming | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| J. Haywood | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| R. Powell | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Fritsch | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Dawson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| E. Graham | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| G. Powell | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Alderman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Bogus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Gollon | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Langston Hall | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Travis Smith | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Bud Thomas | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Coursey | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Monty Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Anthony White | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Darious Moten | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter