Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.2% | 20.8% | -7.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 43 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Kellen Thornton * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| DeShawn Dockery | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Green | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tashon Fredrick | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devante McClung | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chaed Wellian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Triggs * | 43 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| T. Betran * | 41 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| A. Campbell * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Horton * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Clyburn * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| H. Lawrence | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Herring | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Arentsen | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Freeman | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Lynch | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Player #65857 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Hasse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter