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2013-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -0.5 โœ— (1.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 โœ— (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - โœ—

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -2 (79-81). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damon Heuir * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 3 0 6 17 27 -
Jackson Stevenett * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 1 22 34 -
Jayson Cheesman * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 3 6 13 -
Jordan Johnson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jaren Jeffery * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
A.J. Hess 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 12 15 -
Cal Hanks 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 10 16 -
Chris Nsenki 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 10 9 -
Tyson Koehler 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 7 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Hansen * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 5 15 -
Melvin Morgan * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 4 0 4 15 19 -
Neveij Walters * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 11 15 -
Andre Hatchett * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 18 18 -
Tomas Sanchez 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 6 19 22 -
Nnamdi Ezenwa 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 3 9 -
Ayibakuro Preh 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Sherrod Baldwin 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Nick Mason 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter