Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +25 (75-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Staff * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Wright * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Dorsey * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Jones * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Koenen | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| P. Hawkins | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Davis | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Stern | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Brown | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| V. Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Catlett * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Edwards * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| K. Butler * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| S. White-Miller * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| G. Gainey * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| J. Reves | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | - |
| D. Charles | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Gruszecki | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Outler | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. McElvain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter