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The Citadel Bulldogs 76
@
Chattanooga Mocs 89
2013-02-07

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 15.8% 84.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% - ✓

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Horgan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 25 36 -
Marshall Harris * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 9 0 0 4 3 8 -
Mike Groselle * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 3 19 28 -
Ashton Moore * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
Matt Van Scyoc 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 7 -
Raemond Robinson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 2 9 15 -
Stephen Elmore 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 10 -
Dylen Setzekorn 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Janeil Jenkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Zlovaric * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 18 27 -
G. McGhee * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 1 2 22 33 -
R. White * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 19 25 -
Z. Mason * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 14 13 -
L. Stokes * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 0 0 2 13 -
M. Bareika 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 16 -
S. Watson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
E. Robertson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
F. Cobb 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
J. Bryant 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter