Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Clark * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Trevor Noack * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kerron Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Blake Jenkins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Mann * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Baker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Reece Chamberlain | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Craig Bradshaw | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Adam Barnes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Holden Mobley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter