Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Beatty * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzo McCloud * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Sama Taku * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Travis Fulton * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Khalil Kelley * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Rodrigo De Souza | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tony Gill | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Markus Duran | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Trevin Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Bock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 33 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joel Awich | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter