Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Shivaughn Wiggins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Rashad Whack * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Xavier Owens * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Raven Barber * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kelvin Parker | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Sam Prescott | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Danaher | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Josh Castellanos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gregory Graves | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Ortiz * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Orlando Parker * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jonathon Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Josh Thompson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Latif Rivers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Burton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mario Moody | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dwaun Anderson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Naofall Folahan | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter