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2013-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 5 19 25 -
A. Thomas 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 2 2 14 25 -
J. Jackson 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 3 7 14 -
D. Stephens 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 0 3 12 -
S. Goodwin 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 3 8 -
C. Crawford 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 8 8 -
T. Black 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Barton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 3 8 -
D. Wilson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
F. Hall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 0 1 1 0 13 30 -
S. Williams 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 2 1 3 10 -
C. Cunningham 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 6 1 6 19 -
N. Russell 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 17 22 -
R. Manuel 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 8 10 12 -
U. Ofoegbu 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
L. Giles 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
B. Bernardi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Dickerson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter