Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Smith * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 38 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 29 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe De Ciman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Story * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 34 | - |
| D. Burton * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Burris * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Coleman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Elliott | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Fall | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Huff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter