Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -8 (86-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 35 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simons * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Chris Hines * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Clarke * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Richard Carter | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Joey King | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Gary Ricks | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Jeffers | 9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Micah Mason | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter