Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Green | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Max Yon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cam Michael | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 24 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Chad Adams | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kory Alford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter