Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (61-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Coleman * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Mbakwe * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Julian Welch | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Walker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Wally Ellenson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Costello | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter