Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Drmic | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rahon | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| C. Tapley | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Franklin | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Stephens | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Shepard | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter