Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Wade * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Amadou Sidibe * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Derek Needham * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Josip Mikulic * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Gilbert * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Barrow | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Colin Nickerson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Steve Johnston | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Keith Matthews | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.D. Anosike * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Rob Poole * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Trenity Burdine * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Evan Hymes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rakeem Brookins * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rich Audu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Davis Martens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Imoh Silas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter