Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -5 (65-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Faulkner * | 36 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Eshaunte Jones * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Chad Jackson * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | +3.9 |
| Ernest Watson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3.4 |
| John Staley * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Tyler White | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Todd Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jack Flournoy | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Nate Snodgrass | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Anthony Monaco | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Craig * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Ty Greene * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Jodd Maxey * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -5.2 |
| Ricardo Glenn * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Mario Blessing * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Adrian Rodgers | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Fred Miller | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Babatunde Olumuyiwa | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Rob Elam | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.7 |
* = starter