Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +13 (72-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Imes * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Stevie Mejia * | 34 | 3-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -13.4 |
| Taran Buie * | 32 | 3-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -5 | -12.6 |
| Jordan Allen * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -15.3 |
| Moussa Kone * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Matt Grogan | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.1 |
| Stephen Nwaukoni | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Adam Savion | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daquan Brown | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Jody Card | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gaillard * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Matt Rum * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Marcus Thornton * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 29 | +11.2 |
| Julian Boatner * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Brandon Britt | 30 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Fred Heldring | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Terry Tarpey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Tom Schalk | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
* = starter