Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas City Roos | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Dakota State Jackrabbits +31 (88-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estan Tyler * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -12.4 |
| Trinity Hall * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -11.5 |
| Aaron Washington * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Brad Reid * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -17.7 |
| Nelson Kirksey * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Thomas Staton | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -11.6 |
| John Burke | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Caleb Johnson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Nate Rogers | 9 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Mason Wedel | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.6 |
| Kirk Korver | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Trevor Franklin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dykstra * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Brayden Carlson * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Nate Wolters * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | +9.5 |
| Chad White * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Tony Fiegen * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +8.8 |
| Zach Horstman | 20 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +4.5 |
| Taevaunn Prince | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Marcus Heemstra | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +8.5 |
| Cory Jacobsen | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.1 |
* = starter