Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✗ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Valjarevic * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| J. Mesghna * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| X. Pollard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 19 | - |
| A. Fraser * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| M. Allison * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| S. Lawton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| T. Gloger | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. McAllian | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Neller * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Quentin Jones * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Cook * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Adrian Satchell * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Player #56944 | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Player #61948 | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Player #61947 | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Wejnert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter