Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (32.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +36 (83-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Beane * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Early * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Josh Swan * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Desmar Jackson | 26 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -3 | - |
| T. Daniels | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colby Long | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Diamond Taylor | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Calvin Belts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Bonifield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 20 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Matt Stacho | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter