Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.9% | 2.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -17 (56-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Knight | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +9.9 |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 28 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | +8.4 |
| JT Sulton | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Shawn Jones | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Raymond Cintron | 24 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | -15.7 |
| Bruce Massey | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Tweety Knight | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Neiko Hunter | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -13.8 |
| James Gallman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Torin Walker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Gantt | 40 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -4 | +0.8 |
| Stefan Moody | 34 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Richard Morrow | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Jackson Trapp | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -5.4 |
| Kelvin Penn | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Jordan McCoy | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Pablo Bertone | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Dragan Sekelja | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.0 |
* = starter