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Model Predictions

Model Iona Gaels Canisius Golden Griffins Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - โœ—
Margin 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“

Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins +3 (77-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
David Laury * 36 5-10 0-0 1-4 16 5 1 1 1 11 23 -3.6
Lamont Jones * 32 5-16 1-5 2-2 4 4 2 0 3 13 4 +5.5
Taaj Ridley * 30 7-15 0-2 4-6 7 1 1 1 3 18 10 +5.9
Tre Bowman * 28 3-6 0-2 1-1 5 1 0 2 0 7 9 +1.2
Sean Armand * 26 3-9 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 9 4 -7.9
DaShawn Gomez 22 2-7 1-5 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 5 7 +6.5
Curtis Dennis 15 4-10 2-8 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 11 4 +6.3
Tavon Sledge 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -6.9
Nyandigisi Moikobu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.4

Canisius Golden Griffins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Billy Baron * 40 7-16 4-7 5-7 5 6 1 0 2 23 17 +2.9
Harold Washington * 34 4-12 4-8 1-2 4 2 0 1 2 13 6 +3.3
Isaac Sosa * 32 4-11 3-10 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 12 2 -8.2
Chris Manhertz * 27 3-6 0-0 6-8 8 0 0 1 1 12 14 +17.9
Jordan Heath * 26 2-6 1-2 5-6 7 2 1 0 1 10 13 +3.4
Josiah Heath 22 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 1 5 -13.3
Alshwan Hymes 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 +1.2
Freddy Asprilla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter