Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazabian Jackson * | 31 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Terrell Kennedy * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| DaVon Haynes * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Broughton * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tevin Hammond | 38 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Marcel Mosley | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mitchell Anderson | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chandler Savage | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jaylon Floyd | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trent Whiting | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Freelove * | 32 | 11-17 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 25 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Luther Page * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 30 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Denaell McDaniel | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter