Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 11-12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 23 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -2 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| W. Shepard | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 38 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Green | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Max Yon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter