Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 40 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Matt Williams | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kane * | 40 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Pittman * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Tinnon * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D.D. Scarver * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| N. Spikes * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| R. Goff | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Boykins | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Manning | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Y. Mbao | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter