๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-02-02

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Furman Paladins Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Margin 38.0% 62.0% +2.7 โœ— (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—

Actual: Furman Paladins -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 3 0 1 19 34 -
Ashton Moore * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 14 19 -
P.J. Horgan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 23 28 -
Marshall Harris * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 0 0 0 11 19 -
Matt Van Scyoc 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 13 16 -
Janeil Jenkins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
Dylen Setzekorn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Stephen Elmore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Raemond Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ferrara * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 4 11 -
C. Reddick * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 4 26 33 -
S. Croone * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 12 3 0 3 12 30 -
B. Austin * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 7 -
C. Reddick * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 21 29 -
L. Wideman 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
B. Irwin 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
D. Brown 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Chuisseu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter