Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Princeton Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Princeton Tigers +6 (72-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Mullins * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Brian Barbour * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Alex Rosenberg * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +7.6 |
| Mark Cisco * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -8.3 |
| Maodo Lo * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Isaac Cohen | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +12.9 |
| Cory Osetkowski | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| Steve Frankoski | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +8.8 |
| John Daniels | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11.2 |
| Noah Springwater | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bray * | 39 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Denton Koon * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Ian Hummer * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 12-14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | +12.3 |
| Will Barrett * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Hans Brase * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -2.7 |
| Brendan Connolly | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Mack Darrow | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Clay Wilson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Chris Clement | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
* = starter