Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights -9 (71-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Hunter * | 40 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | +0.7 |
| Adonis Burbage * | 38 | 8-14 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Malcolm McMillan * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | +2.9 |
| Joe Efese * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Kyle Vinales * | 20 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Terrell Allen | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -8.2 |
| Andrew Hurd | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Erik Raleigh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Greg Andrade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.4 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinu Rochford * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -3.2 |
| Melquan Bolding * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Mathias Seilund * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Sidney Sanders Jr. * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -6.9 |
| Xavier Harris * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -12.6 |
| Lonnie Robinson | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Sekou Harris | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Yves Jules | 24 | 12-16 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 17 | +6.7 |
| Mustafaa Jones | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Trevor Charles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Kyle Pearson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter