Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +9 (71-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Townsend * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | -10.0 |
| Austin Morgan * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | -12.0 |
| Armani Cotton * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -10.0 |
| Javier Duren * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -16.4 |
| Greg Kelley * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -12.5 |
| Nick Victor | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Sam Martin | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Michael Grace | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Brandon Sherrod | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.3 |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Golden * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +12.2 |
| Connor Boehm * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +17.0 |
| Alex Mitola * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Tyler Melville * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Brandon McDonnell * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Gabas Maldunas | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +17.0 |
| Malik Gill | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +17.8 |
| Kevin Crescenzi | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.2 |
| Tommy Carpenter | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.0 |
| Matt Rennie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Matt LaBove | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
* = starter