Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +14 (91-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Denson * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille Johnson * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Allen Payne * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 16 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Brian Greene Jr. | 24 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Asauhn Dixon-Tatum | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Price | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Josh Wallace | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordon Granger | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Noel Johnson | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keion Bell * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Jabari Brown * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Phil Pressey * | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Laurence Bowers * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Earnest Ross | 30 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Tony Criswell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Rosburg | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Negus Webster-Chan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Danny Feldmann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Haith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter