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Model Predictions

Model Sacred Heart Pioneers Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% - โœ—
Margin 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“

Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +9 (91-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Sacred Heart Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Phil Gaetano * 37 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 5 7 -0.6
Shane Gibson * 35 6-15 1-5 5-6 6 6 3 1 5 18 14 -4.2
Louis Montes * 33 8-13 0-0 5-5 5 3 0 0 2 21 14 -6.5
Steve Glowiak * 33 4-10 3-6 0-0 2 2 4 0 4 11 5 -2.1
Nick Greenbacker * 21 4-6 0-1 1-5 1 1 0 2 1 9 6 +0.3
De'Aires Tate 24 7-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 3 14 14 -2.6
Tevin Falzon 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 3 -8.9
Mostafa Abdel Latif 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Julian Norfleet * 35 4-12 2-8 0-0 4 5 2 1 2 10 8 -0.4
Rashad Whack * 34 10-16 7-10 8-9 4 3 1 0 3 35 24 +3.8
Shivaughn Wiggins * 32 4-8 1-1 4-7 4 6 2 0 4 13 13 -4.1
Raven Barber * 14 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -3.7
Xavier Owens * 10 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 4 5 -5.0
Sam Prescott 23 1-6 1-4 4-5 2 0 1 0 0 7 4 -2.3
Kelvin Parker 17 1-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 4 3 0 +11.2
Kristijan Krajina 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 5 7 +6.2
Taylor Danaher 10 1-2 0-0 3-6 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -0.3
Gregory Graves 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 +3.3
Josh Castellanos 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +7.6

* = starter