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Western Illinois Leathernecks 68
@
IU Indianapolis Jaguars 59
2013-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Western Illinois Leathernecks IU Indianapolis Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 83.8% 16.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 82.1% 17.9% - ✓
Margin 68.0% 32.0% - ✓
Pythagorean 83.1% 16.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.3% 6.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 68.9% 31.1% - ✓

Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars -9 (59-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Ceola Clark III * 38 3-7 2-5 9-10 5 4 2 0 0 17 21 -5.8
Jack Houpt * 34 2-4 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 5 9 -11.1
Adam Link * 33 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 -7.7
Remy Roberts-Burnett * 31 3-9 1-2 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 7 3 -11.9
Terell Parks * 27 4-10 0-0 3-4 10 1 2 1 5 11 10 -7.7
Don McAvoy III 17 2-7 0-2 0-1 1 2 2 0 2 4 0 +0.8
Michael Ochereobia 9 3-3 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 9 6 +1.8
Jordan Foster 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 +3.3
Jason Hawthorne 4 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 +1.2

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sean Esposito * 37 5-11 2-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 12 7 +10.9
Donovan Gibbs * 37 8-10 2-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 18 14 +8.1
Greg Rice * 37 3-9 2-4 2-2 7 7 2 0 2 10 15 +2.1
Mitch Patton * 35 6-11 0-0 1-3 5 4 0 3 7 13 7 +5.2
P.J. Hubert * 20 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 0 0 +1.5
Jordan Shanklin 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -1.8
Lyonell Gaines 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -4.0

* = starter