Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Rapheal Davis * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Hammons | 30 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 22 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Donnie Hale | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 38 | 11-17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Jared Swopshire * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tre Demps * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Mike Turner | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter