Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +3 (66-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Garrett * | 32 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Chris Cunningham * | 23 | 2-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +5.4 |
| David Andoh * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -8.0 |
| Aalim Moor * | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Xavier Jones * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.4 |
| D.J. Brown | 31 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 5-12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | +8.4 |
| Stephon Smith | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Nick Grieves | 19 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +9.6 |
| Alex Brown | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Chris Jones | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -5.4 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Barone * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | -4.8 |
| Mike McChristian * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Connor Hill * | 30 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | -9.5 |
| Wendell Faines * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | -2.1 |
| Mansa Habeeb * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Stephen Madison | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Robert Harris Jr. | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joe Kammerer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Matt Borton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Denzel Douglas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter